Game 11 Preview – Penguins at Maple Leafs


By: Casey Johnston (@CaseyR82)

Last Game for the Pens:  Last night, a 4-3 loss to the New York Islanders.  Everything was going fine until the third period when the Penguins decided that defense really wasn’t their thing.  Frans Nielsen tied the game 2-2 at 12:46 in the third period.  Deryk Engelland scored his first of the year 16 sixteen seconds later to give the Penguins the lead.  Less than a minute later, Pierre-Marc Bouchard gave the Islanders a lead they would not surrender.  Josh Bailey scored an insurance goal at 18:20.  Jussi Jokinen and Sidney Crosby also scored for the Penguins.  Evgeni Nabokov stopped 39 of 42 shots for the Islanders.  Jeff Zatkoff stopped 21of 25 shots.  Do you think this loss was Zatkoff’s fault?  The Pens Nation’s own Meesh may have something to say to you.

Last Game for the Maple Leafs:  Last night, a 5-2 loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets.  The Maple Leafs were outshot 36-25, something that is becoming a trend this year (see below).  The goals were evenly spread out for the Blue Jackets as five different players contributed to the effort.  Dave Bolland and Phi Kessel scored for the Maple Leafs.

Last 10 Games for the Pens:  7-3.

Last 10 Games for the Maple Leafs:  6-4.

Last Time These Two Teams Met:  March 14, 2013.  Tyler Bozak opened up the scoring at the hallway mark of the game.  The Penguins responded in the third with three unanswered goals from Pascal Dupuis (2) and Craig Adams.  Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 29 shots.

Story of the Game:  The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently second in the Atlantic Division and third in the Eastern Conference.  This is something that baffles the advanced stats crowd because they are doing it while getting horribly outshot.  Toronto currently ranks 27th in the league in shots for and shots against per game.  Through the first eight games of the season, only one Maple Leaf had a positive Corsi (the differential of all shots for and against).  Leading scorer Phil Kessel ranked 15th among all Maple Leaf skaters with a Corsi of -14.97.  This is simply not supposed to happen and will continue to befuddle the hockey analytics crowd until either Toronto starts losing games or someone figures out a way to track quality of shots per 60 minutes (someone in a Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan basement is probably working on this right now).

Pens All-Time Record Against the Maple Leafs:  75-70-17-5.

Maple Leafs-Killer on the Pens:  Pascal Dupuis has seven points in his last four games versus the Maple Leafs.

Penguins-Killer on the Maple Leafs:  Phil Kessel has four points in the last two games versus the Penguins.

Probable Lines Tonight: (From Emptynetters)


14 Chris Kunitz – 87 Sidney Crosby – 9 Pascal Dupuis

36 Jussi Jokinen – 71 Evgeni Malkin – 12 Chuck Kobasew

15 Tanner Glass – 16 Brandon Sutter – 59 Jayson Megna

27 Craig Adams – 46 Joe Vitale – 5 Deryk Engelland

44 Brooks Orpik – 7 Paul Martin

4 Rob Scuderi – 58 Kris Letang

3 Olli Maatta – 2 Matt Niskanen

29 Marc-Andre Fleury

Maple Leafs

21 James van Riemsdyk – 42 Tyler Bozak – 81 Phil Kessel

12 Mason Raymond – 63 Dave Bolland – 71 David Clarkson

11 Jay McClement – 43 Nazem Kadri – 37 Carter Ashton

38 Kyle McLaren – 23 Trevor Smith – 28 Colton Orr

36 Carl Gunnarsson – 3 Dion Phaneuf

44 Morgan Rielly – 4 Cody Franson

15 Paul Ranger – 51 Jake Gardiner

34 James Reimer